Will Russia formally declare war on Ukraine by the end of May?
Resolved
NO
Jun 1
M$500 bet
See https://www.cnn.com/2022/05/03/europe/russia-ukraine-declaration-of-war-intl-hnk-ml/index.html Resolves YES if Russia/Putin formally declares war on Ukraine before June 1st, 2022. I’m thinking “formally” here means multiple major media outlets reporting on an official statement by the Russian government or Putin himself.

💬 Proven correct

Conflux
Conflux bought M$15 of NO
arbitraging with other market
0
Conflux made M$33!
brp
brp bought M$15 of YES
Arbitraged to bring the two markets into agreement.
0
Conflux
Conflux bought M$15 of NO
arbitraging with other market
0

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