Will a significant ransomware attack targeting critical infrastructure (healthcare, energy, transportation, or financial systems) be publicly disclosed by December 17, 2025?

Context: Recent data shows ransomware remains the top organizational cyber risk concern at 45% according to the World Economic Forum's Global Cybersecurity Outlook 2025. In 2025 alone, major attacks have disrupted aviation (Collins Aerospace in September), healthcare systems, and financial institutions. Industry reports indicate a 12% year-over-year increase in ransomware-related breaches with more aggressive extortion techniques.

Resolution: Market resolves YES if a publicly confirmed ransomware attack on critical infrastructure is disclosed by December 17, 2025. Resolution sources: CSIS Significant Cyber Incidents (https://www.csis.org/programs/strategic-technologies-program/significant-cyber-incidents), major news outlets (Reuters, Bloomberg, BBC), or official government cybersecurity advisories (CISA, FBI).

Edge cases: Attacks must target operational systems of critical infrastructure providers, not just data theft. Hoaxes or unconfirmed reports do not count.