2. Will there be at least $250 million in damage from a single round of mass protests in US in 2022? | Manifold

2. Will there be at least $250 million in damage from a single round of mass protests in US in 2022?

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Ṁ2056

resolved Feb 1

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NO

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1W

1M

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From Scott Alexander's US/World predictions for 2022 on Astral Codex Ten: https://astralcodexten.substack.com/p/predictions-for-2022-contest Resolved according to Scott Alexander’s judgment, as given through future posts on Astral Codex Ten.

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#ACX 2022 Predictions

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Big destructive protests tend to happen in the summer, and we're halfway through that without one happening.

The recent trucker convoys seem like the kind of "thing that we aren't sure if it'll happen or not, happened a little bit" thing that demands an update.

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