2. Will there be at least $250 million in damage from a single round of mass protests in US in 2022?
40
162Ṁ2056resolved Feb 1
Resolved
NO1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
From Scott Alexander's US/World predictions for 2022 on Astral Codex Ten: https://astralcodexten.substack.com/p/predictions-for-2022-contest
Resolved according to Scott Alexander’s judgment, as given through future posts on Astral Codex Ten.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000🏅 Top traders
| # | Name | Total profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ṁ19 | |
| 2 | Ṁ17 | |
| 3 | Ṁ14 | |
| 4 | Ṁ12 | |
| 5 | Ṁ11 |
People are also trading
Related questions
Will there be large-scale rioting in the US before 2036?
95% chance
Will there be large-scale rioting in the US before 2026?
36% chance
Will there be an anti-Trump protest march with at least 1m reported total participants in the US before 1st June 2025?
83% chance
Will there be a major spike in protests in the US in 2025 (comparable to the 2020 George Floyd protests)?
60% chance
Will there be major social unrest in the USA by July 2025?
25% chance
Will 20+ people die in anti-Trump protests in 2025?
22% chance
>100K protest in DC before 2026?
68% chance
Conditional on Trump/Biden winning the 2024 presidential, will there be a large scale rioting in the US before 2026 ?
Will street protests against Trump's agenda result in at least one death in 2025?
70% chance
Will there be a major spike in protests in the US before 2030?
87% chance