6. Will the Kerch Bridge be destroyed, such that no vehicle can pass over in 2023?
216
2kṀ130kresolved Jan 1
Resolved
NO1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
As long as any vehicle (except, like, airplanes) can pass over the bridge, it does not count as destroyed. If the bridge is destroyed but successfully repaired before 1/1/24 so that vehicles can cross it again, it does not count as destroyed.
This is question #6 in the Astral Codex Ten 2023 Prediction Contest. The contest rules and full list of questions are available here. Market will resolve according to Scott Alexander’s judgment, as given through future posts on Astral Codex Ten.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
🏅 Top traders
# | Name | Total profit |
---|---|---|
1 | Ṁ4,634 | |
2 | Ṁ4,145 | |
3 | Ṁ3,574 | |
4 | Ṁ790 | |
5 | Ṁ678 |