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Related questions
Will a substantial cyberattack (disrupting critical infrastructure) occur in the U.S. between July 21 and Dec 31, 2024
34% chance
Will there be a cybersecurity event affecting US infrastructure and dealing more than $20 million in damage by 2025
50% chance
Will the US experience a power grid failure before 2026?
32% chance
Will a cyber attack by a top 10 GDP nation involving exposing mass private civilian data occur before 2028?
55% chance
Will a data centre hosting AI be physically attacked before December 31, 2029?
25% chance
[Metaculus] Will China carry out a cyberattack on Taiwan’s electricity infrastructure before 2030?
50% chance
Will there be a terrorist attack motivated by climate change in 2024?
23% chance
Will OpenAI be the target and victim of a major cyber attack in 2024?
13% chance
Will there be a catastrophic terrorist attack that occurs within a US state on or before July 31, 2024?
6% chance
Will there be any one transmission line outage that causes over one million Americans to not have electricity in 2024?
72% chance