Will Halley's comet drop out of its orbit by June 2024?
18
159
330
Jun 30
2%
chance

Halley is almost as remote as it has ever been, and its only very recent trends of closing the gap only make up this distance at a concerningly slow rate.

Extrapolating Halley's recent tendency to keep its remoteness from the sun around previously rarely seen lengths suggests that it might drop out of a closed orbit, and eventually out of our solar system.

In the past, Halley has usually managed to turn around at some point, as have many other comets. Many analysts see a slow reverting of this outward trajectory since 9 December 2023.

However, you never know when to trust analysts, especially with gaps that are the largest we have observed in lifetimes.

Resolves YES if the distance of Halley's comet to the sun increases over two consecutive weeks before end of June 2024. Resolves NO if it comes closer. Resolves N/A if it switches to a circular orbit (constant distance).

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@JamesF @NicholasCarda Curious if you guys knew thi was about halley's comet when you bought yes?

@jacksonpolack I did not I saw the title and thought it was about Nikki Haley

@jacksonpolack It’s my own fault for not reading the description

Thanks for the reply! I think it'd be better if markets didn't have slightly misleading titles like this, and am arguing for that in the discord right now.

@JamesF its the creators fault for trying to mislead people!

😔 👉👈 🥹

@8Kraken8 This is actually very funny but please edit the title.

@Joshua ok sure, done

@8Kraken8 Much appreciated!

@8Kraken8 i forgive you i like when ppl try to be funny

I got pretty far into the description thinking this market was about Nikki Haley