Will Halley's comet drop out of its orbit by June 2024?
19
1kṀ4473
resolved Jul 19
Resolved
NO

Halley is almost as remote as it has ever been, and its only very recent trends of closing the gap only make up this distance at a concerningly slow rate.

Extrapolating Halley's recent tendency to keep its remoteness from the sun around previously rarely seen lengths suggests that it might drop out of a closed orbit, and eventually out of our solar system.

In the past, Halley has usually managed to turn around at some point, as have many other comets. Many analysts see a slow reverting of this outward trajectory since 9 December 2023.

However, you never know when to trust analysts, especially with gaps that are the largest we have observed in lifetimes.

Resolves YES if the distance of Halley's comet to the sun increases over two consecutive weeks before end of June 2024. Resolves NO if it comes closer. Resolves N/A if it switches to a circular orbit (constant distance).

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