Will the next President of the USA (elected in 2024) die before the end of their term in office.
57
1kαΉ33062029
18%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves YES if they die before inauguration.
If they die before inauguration, they aren't the next President, so this wouldn't resolve yet.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000People are also trading
Who will be the next US President to die?
Will the president elected in 2028 die in office?
13% chance
Will Biden or Trump die from natural causes before the end of the next presidential term?
Will a president of the USA die while in office before the end of 2050
58% chance
Will a U.S. President die in office before 2034?
29% chance
Will another United States president be assassinated before the end of 2034?
19% chance
Will the next president (of the USA) last the full term?
79% chance
Will the president elected in 2024 complete his or her term?
80% chance
Will the next U.S. President (elected in Nov. 2024 & inaugurated in Jan. 2025) serve their full 4-year term?
75% chance
Will Donald Trump or Joe Biden die before Jan 2028?
37% chance
Sort by:
People are also trading
Related questions
Who will be the next US President to die?
Will the president elected in 2028 die in office?
13% chance
Will Biden or Trump die from natural causes before the end of the next presidential term?
Will a president of the USA die while in office before the end of 2050
58% chance
Will a U.S. President die in office before 2034?
29% chance
Will another United States president be assassinated before the end of 2034?
19% chance
Will the next president (of the USA) last the full term?
79% chance
Will the president elected in 2024 complete his or her term?
80% chance
Will the next U.S. President (elected in Nov. 2024 & inaugurated in Jan. 2025) serve their full 4-year term?
75% chance
Will Donald Trump or Joe Biden die before Jan 2028?
37% chance