Will the next President of the USA (elected in 2024) die before the end of their term in office. | Manifold

Will the next President of the USA (elected in 2024) die before the end of their term in office.

55

1kṀ3204

2029

20%

chance

1H

6H

1D

1W

1M

ALL

Resolves YES if they die before inauguration.

If they die before inauguration, they aren't the next President, so this wouldn't resolve yet.

2024 US Presidential Election

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With Joe Biden out, this market should probably shift

Clarification requested: is resignation followed by death within original term of office a Yes or a No?

@patio11 I would resolve that as NO

Would appreciate if someone brought in the survival statistics conditional on age, income, etc

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