I am planning to trade as follows: I will initially nudge new options (including options added by others) towards my perceived likelihood. Afterwards, I will only buy YES or sell NO to motivate myself.
I will attempt to answer your questions in the comments and provide updates on life developments that significantly affect the odds for any option, both within reasonable limits.
Inspired by: https://manifold.markets/TheAllMemeingEye/add-options-theallmemeingeye-love-l
Update 2025-02-01 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Schrödinger's date resolution update:
If the date does not clearly turn platonic or clearly romantic/sexual, it will be resolved as YES.
Resolution update is expected on Thursday after the Monday meeting.
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3.00@traders I'm meeting someone on Monday. Previous outings with her have all been "Schrödinger's dates", so unless it suddenly turns either clearly platonic or clearly romantic/sexual, I think I will resolve "Schrödinger's date" to YES on Thursday. I‘m planning to give an update on Monday.
@4fa hmm, I'm not experienced with relationships and I'm very neurodivergent, but my intuitive expectation is that repeated "Schrödinger's dates" are significantly likely (though not guaranteed) to lead to a situation where one of you is reasonably convinced you're romantically involved while the other has been assuming it's completely platonic, and if the realisation of the truth happens suddenly and in-person then it's likely to cause intense sadness and embarrassment in the one who thought it was romantic and intense creeped-out-ness in the one who thought it was platonic, in turn likely leading to immediate breakdown and loss of the existing friendship
@TheAllMemeingEye I see! Currently, I am not convinced of either option and am okay with both. Should that change, I will ask for clarification.
I remember being in the described situation years ago, though. Let's hope I've learnt something. 😅