This is great, but I don’t think you’ll get a consensus of scientists agreeing with the claim. Even though it might be technically true that the mass and density of the visible universe meets the mathematical standard for being dense enough to be a “black hole” there’s no way to verify the other contextual facts that would make it a stylized black hole. A black hole forms in a universe, probably from a large star, subsequently sucks in matter, becomes larger and larger, has an event horizon, probably has a galaxy around it that eventually gets consumed, etc etc. The universe might be a black-hole-like phenomenon but we would need a lot more information before declaring it a bona fide black hole.

I understand you plan to resolve to the scientific consensus of 2030. What would you resolve based on the current scientific consensus?

I like this market