Will any European Country make a transition to an exclusive democracy by 2039 (Rare event market)
65%
chance

This will resolve positively if there is at least one election in which >1% of adult citizens do not have suffrage. It must happen under a new rule (I will not automatically resolve yes by looking at the Vatican).

Background:

Democracies come in all shapes and forms. For instance:

- In the Kingdom of Great Britain, there was a property qualification. Only a few thousand of man could vote.

- The US before the 19th amendment (also there were other nuances)

-Almost all democracies in Europe were exclusive when they emerged.

-Ancient ones (e.g Rome, Athens, do some googling or ask chatgpt)

Generally speaking, the contemporary form of democracy became a gold standard after the WW1 (A note: in the UK women were barred from voting until 1928 (until the 1970s in Northern Ireland).

I will add to the description based on the comment section.

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