Will Israel pass a legislative override reform during the current Knesset term?
Will Israel pass a legislative override reform during the current Knesset term?
4
50Ṁ652027
16%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This market resolves YES if, during the term of the 25th Knesset, a law is passed allowing the Knesset to override court decisions.
The precise nature or extent of the changes is irrelevant to the resolution of this market: if the Knesset institutes a procedure to vote to override the judiciary, whether with a bare majority or with some other threshold, this market resolves YES.
Otherwise this resolves NO when the 26th Knesset is sworn in.
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What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Or create your own play-money betting market on any question you care about.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like betting still use Manifold to get reliable news.
Why use play money?
Why use play money?Mana (Ṁ) is the play-money currency used to bet on Manifold. It cannot be converted to cash. All users start with Ṁ1,000 for free.
Play money means it's much easier for anyone anywhere in the world to get started and try out forecasting without any risk. It also means there's more freedom to create and bet on any type of question.
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