Will Israel's judicial selection committee be reformed during the current Knesset term?

Question

This market resolves YES if, during the term of the 25th Knesset, a law is passed altering the composition or procedure for determining the composition of the judicial selection comittee.

The precise nature or extent of the changes is irrelevant to the resolution of this market: any alteration to the way the comittee is formed, including the abolishment of the comittee and its replacement by another entity, will cause this market to resolve YES.

Otherwise this resolves NO when the 26th Knesset is sworn in.

(https://manifold.markets/embed/zzq/will-israels-process-of-judicial-re)(https://manifold.markets/embed/zzq/will-israel-pass-a-there-be-a-legis)(https://manifold.markets/embed/zzq/will-israel-reform-the-status-of-le)

Manifold Markets · Answer

Probably not — Manifold Markets prediction market estimates a 22% chance (6 traders, as of Dec 14, 2024).