Sam Bankman-Fried in prison by 2030

closes 3030

89%

chance

ALL

This market resolves YES if Sam Bankman-Fried is imprisoned for any crime, in any country, before January 1st 2030. Jail, or pre-conviction detainment of any sort doesn't count, nor does a suspended sentence. As soon as he is convicted, sentenced to imprisonment, and that sentence actually carried out this market resolves YES, otherwise on January 1st 2030 this market resolves NO.

Get Ṁ500 play money

Related questions

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39% chance

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If convicted, which prison will Sam Bankman-Fried be sent to?

Matthew Barnett

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Milford Hammerschmidt

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Is sam bankman fried (ftx) going to face life imprisonment before 31th october

Saliha

7% chance

Will Sam Bankman-Fried’s trial conclude before the end of 2023?

Robin Bruce

15% chance

Sam Bankman-Fried gets pardoned or granted clemency by EOY 2032

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5% chance

Will Interpol issue an arrest warrant for Sam Bankman-Fried?

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Manifold in the WildBot

Sam Bankman-Fried in prison by 2030, 8k, beautiful, illustration, trending on art station, picture of the day, epic composition

AccelerationBot filled limit order Ṁ33/Ṁ100 YES at 89% (cancelled) 🤖

Nico D bought Ṁ100 YES from 86% to 88%

Nico D bought Ṁ50 YES from 85% to 86%

Milford Hammerschmidt bought Ṁ10 YES from 84% to 85%

Milford Hammerschmidt bought Ṁ10 YES at 84%

AccelerationBot filled limit order Ṁ8/Ṁ100 NO at 84% (cancelled) 🤖

Milford Hammerschmidt bought Ṁ100 YES from 82% to 85%

AccelerationBot filled limit order Ṁ21/Ṁ100 YES at 82% (cancelled) 🤖

zzq bought Ṁ50 NO from 89% to 81%

Entropy AgentBot bought Ṁ1 YES at 89%

Nico D sold Ṁ30 YES from 90% to 89%

Nico D bought Ṁ20 YES at 90%

Nico D bought Ṁ10 YES from 89% to 90%

Dominic de Bettencourt bought Ṁ20 NO from 92% to 89%

William Ehlhardt bought Ṁ10 YES at 92%

Gill Amberstine bought Ṁ10 NO from 93% to 92%

Nick el Chen sold Ṁ13 YES at 93%

Jason sold Ṁ12 YES from 94% to 93%

zzq bought Ṁ5 NO at 94%

Calvinball bought Ṁ10 YES at 94%

AccelerationBot filled limit order Ṁ9/Ṁ100 NO at 94% (cancelled)

Milford Hammerschmidt bought Ṁ500 YES from 90% to 95%

zzq created limit order for Ṁ50 YES at 70% (cancelled)

AccelerationBot filled limit order Ṁ100/Ṁ100 YES at 91%

zzq sold Ṁ45 NO from 87% to 90%

yaboi69 sold Ṁ4 NO from 86% to 87%

Jonathan Mast bought Ṁ20 YES from 85% to 86%

AccelerationBot filled limit order Ṁ21/Ṁ100 YES at 85% (cancelled)

GeorgeVii bought Ṁ250 YES from 80% to 84%

Garrett Baker bought Ṁ10 YES at 80%

Robi Rahman bought Ṁ10 YES at 80%

AccelerationBot filled limit order Ṁ100/Ṁ100 YES at 81%

Isaac King bought Ṁ100 YES from 78% to 80%

Jason bought Ṁ10 YES from 77% to 78%

Lily Chen bought Ṁ10 YES from 76% to 77%

GeorgeVii filled limit order Ṁ7/Ṁ170 NO at 76% (cancelled)

GeorgeVii bought Ṁ34 YES from 75% to 79%

GeorgeVii created limit order for Ṁ34 NO at 79% (cancelled)

GeorgeVii filled limit order Ṁ9/Ṁ190 NO at 75% (cancelled)

GeorgeVii bought Ṁ38 YES from 74% to 79%

GeorgeVii created limit order for Ṁ38 NO at 79% (cancelled)

AccelerationBot filled limit order Ṁ2/Ṁ3 NO at 74% (cancelled)

Gabrielle bought Ṁ50 YES from 64% to 75%

Martin Randall bought Ṁ10 NO from 70% to 64%

zzq created limit order for Ṁ40 YES at 50% (cancelled)

David Socha bought Ṁ65 YES from 61% to 70%

yaboi69 bought Ṁ10 NO from 70% to 61%

Nick el Chen bought Ṁ10 YES at 70%

Related questions

Will Sam Bankman-Fried plead guilty by the end of 2024?

Drew

23% chance

Will Sam Bankman Fried be dead before he goes to trial?

Andres Hidalgo

4% chance

Sam Bankman-Fried will be convicted before Donald Trump

Martin Randall

71% chance

Will Sam Bankman-Fried receive a sentence of over 34 years?

Calvinball

48% chance

Will Sam Bankman-Fried receive a prison sentence of over 25 years?

Calvinball

63% chance

Will Sam Bankman Fried receive a criminal penalty of more than 20 years in prison before 2030?

Milford Hammerschmidt

78% chance

Will Sam bankman-fried receive a sentence of over 19 years?

Calvinball

80% chance

Will Sam Bankman-Fried receive a prison sentence of over 64 years?

Calvinball

25% chance

Will Sam Bankman Fried receive a criminal penalty at least as severe as life imprisonment with the possibility of parole before 2030?

Milford Hammerschmidt

21% chance

Will Sam Bankman-Fried receive a prison sentence of over 39 years?

Calvinball

39% chance

Will Sam Bankman-Fried receive a prison sentence of over 44 years?

Calvinball

33% chance

Will Sam Bankman-Fried's father or mother be indicted by 2025?

Calvinball

30% chance

What do you predict Sam Bankman-Fried's net worth will be on Nov 16, 2025? (i.e., ~3 years from the FTX crises)

Spencer Greenberg

71K

If convicted, which prison will Sam Bankman-Fried be sent to?

Matthew Barnett

Will Sam Bankman Fried receive a criminal penalty of more than 10 years in prison before 2030?

Milford Hammerschmidt

91% chance

Is sam bankman fried (ftx) going to face life imprisonment before 31th october

Saliha

7% chance

Will Sam Bankman-Fried’s trial conclude before the end of 2023?

Robin Bruce

15% chance

Sam Bankman-Fried gets pardoned or granted clemency by EOY 2032

Martin Randall

5% chance

Will Interpol issue an arrest warrant for Sam Bankman-Fried?

Tomek K 🟡

4% chance

Will Sam Trabucco plead guilty?

Gigacasting

47% chance