
Sam Bankman-Fried in prison by 2030
21
closes 3030
89%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Amount
Ṁ0
Ṁ50
Ṁ100
Payout if YES
Ṁ11 +12%
New probability
89%
This market resolves YES if Sam Bankman-Fried is imprisoned for any crime, in any country, before January 1st 2030. Jail, or pre-conviction detainment of any sort doesn't count, nor does a suspended sentence. As soon as he is convicted, sentenced to imprisonment, and that sentence actually carried out this market resolves YES, otherwise on January 1st 2030 this market resolves NO.
Get Ṁ500 play money
Related questions
Sort by:
Sort by:
0 YES payouts
Ṁ329
Ṁ173
Ṁ125
Ṁ95
Ṁ71
Ṁ13
Ṁ12
Ṁ10





















Related questions
Will Sam Bankman Fried receive a criminal penalty at least as severe as life imprisonment with the possibility of parole before 2030?
What do you predict Sam Bankman-Fried's net worth will be on Nov 16, 2025? (i.e., ~3 years from the FTX crises)
Sam Bankman-Fried in prison by 2030, 8k, beautiful, illustration, trending on art station, picture of the day, epic composition