Sam Bankman-Fried will be put into solitary confinement by end 2026

I hope he does well and is able to be happy, and even thrive and improve himself during his sentence. This market is about whether he is put into solitary confinement at any time during a sentence. This is only related to his current charges (trial started ~Oct 4 2023)


  • YES for confirmed reports of solitary

  • NO if he passes away or is released from prison, or found not guilty from this trial. If there is a mistrial this does not immediately end since he could be retried. Remember, this is only about the current charges, not further later trials in other countries/courts/etc.

  • NO if the deadline is reached w/out any reports of solitary.

Again, I wish him well and do not approve of solitary confinement.

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