Will Russian forces capture Pokrovsk by 2026?
35
1kṀ12k
Dec 31
58%
chance
16

Resolves YES if Russia has full control over Pokrovsk by EOY 2025 for at least 24 contiguous hours. The primary source for resolution will be DeepStateMap, though in case of major disagreement, resolution will be deferred to a consensus of credible sources. A lack of consensus may result in a N/A resolution.

Note: If Russia captures Pokrovsk and then loses control later, this market still resolves YES.

I won't bet in this market.

Get
Ṁ1,000
to start trading!
Sort by:

Are we going to take into account that Russia constantly lies about their so-called successes?

https://www.reddit.com/r/pics/comments/1pks9yo/zelenskyy_taking_a_selfie_in_kupiansk_city_after/

@Lorelai The (primary) resolution source is the DeepState map which does not take Russian claims at face value. I don't know the exact details of their process, but it is considered reliable to my understanding.

Lmao they've been trying and failing for more than a year

Does anyone want to suggest an alternative data source other than Deep State?

@EugeneD liveuamap

© Manifold Markets, Inc.TermsPrivacy