Will Russia control the Kup'yans'k-Pivdennyi railroad station by 2026? | Manifold

Will Russia control the Kup'yans'k-Pivdennyi railroad station by 2026?

6

100Ṁ1516

Dec 31

50%

chance

1H

6H

1D

1W

1M

ALL

According to the Institute for the Study of War map.

Update 2025-11-02 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): For a YES resolution, the Kup'yans'k-Pivdennyi railroad station must be classified as 'Assessed Russian Control' on the ISW map, not just 'Assessed Russian Advance'.

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On the ISW map, does the station need to be classified under 'Assessed Russian Control' or just 'Assessed Russian Advance' for a Yes resolution? (The latter happened a few days ago)

@a_l_e_x Assessed Russian Control, I should have specified it in the description, sorry about that.

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