How many justices will vote that Trump's birthright citizenship executive order is unconstitutional?
Plus
8
Ṁ5162029
64%
9
8%
8
7%
7
7%
6
7%
5
7%
4 or fewer
Refers to the first such case the court rules on in Trump's second term. If no such case is ruled on during Trump's first term, resolves to "4 or fewer".
If the decision involves multiple votes with different outcomes, any justice who votes that the order is unconstitutional at least once will be counted. E.g. if there are two different 6-3 votes and the majority changes by one justice between them, this market resolves to "7".
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Related questions
Related questions
How many justices will be appointed to the Supreme Court during the next presidential term?
Will Donald Trump appoint at least 2 Supreme Court Justices during his second term?
36% chance
Will Trump's Birthright Citizenship EO be declared unconstitutional by the Supreme Court before 2029?
88% chance
Will the Supreme Court constrain Trump's power?
57% chance
SCOTUS rules Trump's birthright citizenship executive order unconstitutional (fully or partly) by Sept 1st 2025
If Trump is president, will the Supreme Court be 7-2 conservative before 2033 Inauguration
44% chance
Which case will have its central holding overturned before the scheduled end of Donald Trump's term as president?
Federal judge issues nationwide injunction against Trump's birthright citizenship order by March 2025
47% chance
Will Clarence Thomas rule with the Majority on Jack Smith's Supreme Court petition to see if Donald Trump has immunity?
56% chance
Will birthright citizenship end in the United States by the end of Trump's term?
20% chance