Will Apple ship a foldable iPad before 2025?

closes Jan 1, 2025

17%

chance

ALL

Analyst Ming-Chi Kuo predicted that Apple will ship a foldable iPad in 2024: https://twitter.com/mingchikuo/status/1619952791430254592

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zQ4Z82W

I plan on resolving this as N/A tomorrow since it's a duplicate of an existing market.

Charlieis predicting NO at 19%

@zQ4Z82W I think you should leave it open as long as you think you’ll still be using manifold when it’s time to resolve. In general, I think duplicate markets are a good thing for hedging resolution risk.

zQ4Z82W

OK, I'll leave it open then.

Daniel Tellobought Ṁ50 of NO

Duplicate

zQ4Z82W

Oops, thanks for pointing that out -- it didn't show up when I searched for "foldable" before creating this market.

I'll resolve this market as N/A, unless there are any objections here in the next week.

Daniel Tellois predicting NO at 22%

@zQ4Z82W Oh, sorry, I certainly didn’t mean to suggest a duplicate shouldn’t exist. One could serve as a hedge against the other. To be honest, I was mostly promoting mine for traders who landed here, as I did link to this from mine with the same intention.

zQ4Z82W

No worries, not really sure what the norm is on Manifold... I'm happy to resolve it N/A or leave it open.