zQ4Z82W avatar
zQ4Z82W
closes Jan 1, 2025
Will Apple ship a foldable iPad before 2025?
17%
chance

Analyst Ming-Chi Kuo predicted that Apple will ship a foldable iPad in 2024: https://twitter.com/mingchikuo/status/1619952791430254592

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zQ4Z82W avatar
zQ4Z82W

I plan on resolving this as N/A tomorrow since it's a duplicate of an existing market.

Charlie avatar
Charlieis predicting NO at 19%

@zQ4Z82W I think you should leave it open as long as you think you’ll still be using manifold when it’s time to resolve. In general, I think duplicate markets are a good thing for hedging resolution risk.

zQ4Z82W avatar
zQ4Z82W

OK, I'll leave it open then.

deagol avatar
Daniel Tellobought Ṁ50 of NO

Duplicate

zQ4Z82W avatar
zQ4Z82W

Oops, thanks for pointing that out -- it didn't show up when I searched for "foldable" before creating this market.

I'll resolve this market as N/A, unless there are any objections here in the next week.

deagol avatar
Daniel Tellois predicting NO at 22%

@zQ4Z82W Oh, sorry, I certainly didn’t mean to suggest a duplicate shouldn’t exist. One could serve as a hedge against the other. To be honest, I was mostly promoting mine for traders who landed here, as I did link to this from mine with the same intention.

zQ4Z82W avatar
zQ4Z82W

No worries, not really sure what the norm is on Manifold... I'm happy to resolve it N/A or leave it open.