Will there be US troops in Iran’s Kharg island before April 1?
3
Ṁ100Ṁ94Apr 1
25%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000People are also trading
Related questions
Will Iran strike US soil this year?
15% chance
100 US troop killed in action with Iran by April 2026?
9% chance
Will the US try to capture or blockade kharg island before end of March?
35% chance
Will US take control of Strait of Hormuz before April 1st?
10% chance
Will something happen in Iran this month?
33% chance
Does the US take control of Kharg Island (Iran) with boots on the ground even just for an hour before ... (UTC)?
Will the US invade Iran's Kharg Island by the end of 2026?
55% chance
Will Iran shoot down a US military plane/helicopter by end of March?
13% chance
Will a new regime be installed in Iran before April 1st?
4% chance
Will the US attempt to seize or carry out a major strike on the oil infrastructure on Kharg Island before April 15, 2026
57% chance