Will Italy extend the Belt and Road initiative with China at March 2024?
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resolved Dec 6
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NO

https://www.cnbc.com/2023/09/02/many-italian-parties-are-against-chinas-belt-and-road-initiative-foreign-minister-says.html

Italy has been discussing whether it should leave the Belt and Road initiative of China.

The renewal is expected at end of March 2024 currently.

This market resolves early if Italy has publicized their final decision and it is confirmed by CNN or BBC.

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bought Ṁ500 of NO

@yk

https://www.corriere.it/politica/23_dicembre_06/italia-uscita-via-seta-caed5644-9423-11ee-bf17-27011c9bfd8d.shtml

L’Italia è uscita dalla Via della Seta: la nota d’addio consegnata a Pechino

Italy has exited the Belt and Road initiative: farewell note delivered to Beijing

predicted NO

@Emanuele676 Thanks.

It's also confirmed by FT. Will resolve now.

https://www.ft.com/content/946636dc-2fa1-4b2b-a83b-84478f804a83

bought Ṁ10 of NO

Economic variance has caused uncertainty in Italy's ongoing role within China's Belt and Road Initiative. Italy first joined the BRI in 2019 hoping to increase exports to China and re-balance their economic relationship. However, while exports from China to Italy rose sharply, shipments from Italy to China saw just a modest boost. This growing gap is a pivotal factor now pushing Italy to ponder whether remaining engaged in the BRI aligns with their needs. Balancing trade between the nations will impact Italy's decision on their future participation.

Italy's political scene has shifted, molding its view on the BRI. With four administrations guiding the country since joining the venture, priorities have aligned more with Western partners and European norms. Careful chats with American counterparts aim to allay fears and rebuild trust between longtime allies. Officials stress to the EU that Italy's BRI role is flexible, putting historic bonds before deeper BRI ties to China. The nation has adjusted as leadership rotates, keeping Western relationships a priority over deeper BRI participation. Questions about Italy's stance have reduced as it emphasizes the priority of existing alliances.

Italy's top brass like Defense Minister Guido Crosetto and Prime Minister Giorgia Meloni feel immense frustration with the BRI scheme. Crosetto branded Italy's choice to ally itself as "haphazard and tragic." This dissatisfaction is a stark sign of Italy's uncertainties regarding the project's economic outcomes. Italy is now carefully pondering its stance on China, especially relating to the Belt and Road Initiative, while undergoing introspection amidst collaboration and geopolitical cohesion over whether an adjustment is warranted in its position.

Italy's potential exit sparks global doubt about China's goals. While Italy once welcomed involvement, the EU and U.S. expressed discomfort, mirroring a growing pattern of places reassessing trade ties yet maintaining commerce.

Italy's head of state Mario Draghi held discussions with America's leader Joe Biden that emphasized keeping the Taiwan Strait tranquil, denoting Italy's alignment with western nations. Italy is concentrating away from China's planet-wide initiatives like the Route and Bridge Endeavor, prioritizing relationships with states of the West. This signifies a noteworthy transformation in Italy's worldwide position.

Italy's exit from China's worldwide construction plans seems destined due to financial variations, an evolving political panorama, frustration, synchronization with Western nations, and a more extensive global viewpoint that all encourage Italy's withdrawal from the BRI, indicating a noteworthy shift in their strategy regarding Beijing's worldwide facilities initiatives?! These causes unite to maintain Italy's departure from the BRI, relaying a sizeable change in their approach to China's planet-wide infrastructure projects; however, their relationship still retains potential for reconciliation. https://thechinaproject.com/2023/08/16/italy-wants-to-withdraw-from-chinas-belt-and-road-but-it-wont-be-easy/

https://www.bbc.com/news/world-europe-66354362.

This market gets a Manifold-sponsored 5k Mana boost because I consider it of public interest.

predicted NO

@marktweise Thanks!

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