This market will resolve to YES if there is credible, public confirmation that conventional or special operations ground forces of that respective country have physically entered the sovereign land territory of Iran on or before April 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

If no such confirmation occurs by the deadline, the respective option will resolve to NO.

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Sovereign Land Territory: Includes the Iranian mainland and internationally recognized Iranian islands (e.g., Kharg Island, Abu Musa, Sirri Island).

Ground Forces: Implies intentional "boots on the ground" deployments for the purpose of combat, raiding, sabotage, or occupation. This includes both conventional infantry/armor and special operations forces.

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Resolution will be based on official government or military announcements (from the US, Israel, or Iran with corroboration), or strong consensus reporting from top-tier, credible international news organizations (e.g., AP, Reuters, BBC, NYT).

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Exclusions (NOT a YES):

Downed Pilots & Recovery: Pilots ejecting over Iranian territory, or temporary personnel recovery (CSAR) missions strictly deployed to rescue downed aircrew.

Air/Naval Operations: Missiles, drones, or airstrikes traversing Iranian airspace.

Naval Personnel: Sailors or Marines strictly remaining aboard vessels within Iranian territorial waters, provided they do not physically disembark onto Iranian land.

Covert Intelligence: Intelligence operations (e.g. CIA/Mossad assets) that do not involve active military ground force combat deployments, unless officially declassified and confirmed as military ground operations within the timeframe.