Will a manned mission successfully land on the moon before December 31, 2025?
17
1kṀ3762resolved Jan 6
Resolved
NO1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This question resolves YES if a spacecraft carrying live humans successfully performs a soft landing on the moon before December 31, 2025.
This question resolves NO if the launch, transit, or landing is aborted, or if a catastrophic event results in humans not surviving a landing on the moon.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get
1,000 to start trading!
🏅 Top traders
| # | Name | Total profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ṁ54 | |
| 2 | Ṁ22 | |
| 3 | Ṁ15 | |
| 4 | Ṁ14 | |
| 5 | Ṁ12 |
People are also trading
Related questions
Will a human land on the moon by 2028?
3% chance
Will a human land on the moon by this [YEAR]?
Will a human mission successfully land on the Moon again by the end of 2026?
2% chance
Will SpaceX land on the *MOON* by Dec 31st 2027?
2% chance
Will there be a crewed mission to Lunar orbit before 2026?
1% chance
Will a human land on the moon before 2028?
10% chance
Will a human astronaut land on the moon before 2027 ?
4% chance
Will NASA have a manned landing on the moon by 2027?
4% chance
Will a human mission successfully land on Mars before the end of 2035?
24% chance
Will NASA land a person on the Moon before 2026?
1% chance