Are we currently in an AI economic bubble?
Plus
4
Ṁ2302029
56%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Tech companies contributing to AI progress--on both the hardware and software side--are making a lot of money lately. The question is: Is it over, or just getting started?
Resolves subjectively, based on my diligent assessment of the literature on January 1, 2029. Resolves YES if I reasonably decide that we were indeed in an AI bubble at market creation, meaning AI-connected stocks are generally significantly overvalued.
If it's very unclear at the time of close, I reserve the right to extend the market until the question is sufficiently settled.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Related questions
Related questions
Are we about to hit another AI winter?
13% chance
Will AI cause a market crash (2024)?
3% chance
Will there be an AI bubble before 2030?
80% chance
By 2028, will there be a visible break in trend line on US GDP, GDP per capita, unemployment, or productivity, which most economists attribute directly to the effects of AI?
40% chance
Will an 'AI Bust' or 'AI Winter' Occur by the End of 2025?
20% chance
Will AI cause a financial crash within a decade? (By Oct 2032)
56% chance
Is establishing a truth economy that produces more than 50% of the global GDP before AI fooms critical to survival?
46% chance
Will AI have a trillion+ dollar impact by the end of 2025?
31% chance
Economic impact of AI advances - through what industry will AI have the biggest economic impact in 2024?
Will the AI hype crash soon? (before the end of 2025)
24% chance