Will an adversarial attack for the human brain, a la "basilisk" from BLIT, be discovered by 2030?
48
1kṀ49462030
25%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Mere optical illusions would not count. The McCollough Effect is similar, but not sufficient. Such an adversarial attack should be effective across multiple humans and clearly a new phenomenon.
Resolves "yes" if an attack similar in effectiveness to this one:
is found that works on at least a dozen unique people.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000People are also trading
Related questions
Will a human brain (mind) be successfully uploaded into a computer before 2075?
50% chance
Will AI surpass human intellect by 2030?
91% chance
Will an AI system similar to Auto-GPT make a successful attempt to kill a human by 2030?
24% chance
Will a human brain (mind) be successfully uploaded into a computer before 2030?
5% chance
Will a fully functional brain-computer interface be commercially available by 2030?
30% chance
Will a human brain (mind) be successfully uploaded into a computer before 2035?
12% chance
Will a human brain be uploaded by 2100?
66% chance
Will major tech company announce functional brain-computer interface able to read complex human thoughts by end of 2030?
26% chance
Will a human brain (mind) be successfully uploaded into a computer before 2040?
33% chance
Will advanced AI systems be found to have made money illegally via finding security exploits and/or getting unauthorized access to others' bank accounts by end of 2035?
78% chance