This description was generated by AI.

Resolution criteria

This market resolves to YES if the United States government and the government of the People's Republic of China issue a joint, public statement or sign a formal agreement establishing a bilateral arrangement, framework, or pact specifically concerning artificial intelligence safety, governance, or cooperation before January 1, 2027.

The arrangement must be explicitly identified as being between the US and China. Unilateral policies, separate statements made at the same event, or agreements made only through multilateral organizations (such as the UN or G20) without a distinct bilateral component do not qualify. Resolution will be based on official announcements from the White House (whitehouse.gov) or the Ministry of Foreign Affairs of the People's Republic of China (fmprc.gov.cn). If no such public bilateral arrangement is announced by the deadline, the market resolves to NO.

Background

The US and China have engaged in various high-level dialogues regarding AI risks. In November 2023, the two nations held the first intergovernmental talks on AI in Geneva, focusing on technical safety and risk management. While these discussions established a channel for communication, they have not yet resulted in a formal, binding bilateral AI arrangement. Traders should monitor future diplomatic summits and official press releases for developments regarding structured bilateral cooperation or formal agreements.