How many years will pass from AI aceing Putnam to a Millenium Prize problem getting solved?
5
Ṁ125Ṁ1592100
10%
Millenium Prize first
21%
0
27%
1-2
21%
3-5
21%
6+
How many years will pass from the date when AI gets the maximum score in the Putnam Competition to the date when a second Millenium Prize problem is solved?
ambiguities resolved by my judgment
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000People are also trading
Related questions
Will all Millennium prize problems be solved (or proved unsolvable) by 2040?
35% chance
Will some Millennium Prize Problem be solved before 2028?
30% chance
Will any Millenium Prize Problem (other than the Poincaré conjecture) be solved by 2030?
69% chance
Will some Millennium Prize Prize Problem be solved in 2026?
7% chance
Will Artificial Intelligence solve a Millennium Prize Problem before 2030?
58% chance
In what year will Artificial Intelligence solve a Millennium Prize Problem?
Will a millennium problem be solved in 2026?
7% chance
Will all Millennium prize problems be solved (or proved unsolvable) by 2030?
8% chance
Will an unsolved millenium prize problem be solved by AI by the end of 2028
38% chance
Will a millennium problem be solved in 2027?
23% chance