Will Alexei Navalny be alive and out of custody by the start of 2023?
Basic
12
Ṁ742
resolved Dec 31
Resolved
NO

Alexei Navalny is a Russian politician and Putin's critic. He survived an assassination attempt widely linked with Russian secret services. He is currently imprisoned.

I will use media sources and my best judgement to determine if he is alive, and free.

I posted the same question with different end dates: 2023, 2024, 2025, 2026

Get
Ṁ1,000
and
S3.00
Sort by:

I posted the same question with different end dates: 2023, 2024, 2025, 2026

Seems very unlikely (~5%?) that he gets out of jail while Putin is in power, and it seems that Putin will be in power for a while more:

Will Alexei Navalny be alive and out of custody by the start of 2023?, 8k, beautiful, illustration, trending on art station, picture of the day, epic composition

© Manifold Markets, Inc.Terms + Mana-only TermsPrivacyRules