Will Alexei Navalny be alive and out of custody by the start of 2023?
12
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250
resolved Dec 31
Resolved
NO

Alexei Navalny is a Russian politician and Putin's critic. He survived an assassination attempt widely linked with Russian secret services. He is currently imprisoned.

I will use media sources and my best judgement to determine if he is alive, and free.

I posted the same question with different end dates: 2023, 2024, 2025, 2026

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I posted the same question with different end dates: 2023, 2024, 2025, 2026

bought Ṁ20 of NO

Seems very unlikely (~5%?) that he gets out of jail while Putin is in power, and it seems that Putin will be in power for a while more:

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