Will there be realistic AI generated short films by the end of 2024?
16
93
Ṁ955Ṁ310
2025
41%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
With the release of Sora it seems reasonably likely that we will have realistic AI generated clips this year. Will we get realistic short films (5-10 minute range) from text prompts this year as well? "Realistic" means both the actual images are accurate depictions of what they're supposed to be depicting, and it can generate films of a "reasonable" complexity level (think multiple characters, maybe 1-3 scene changes, background details, etc). A 5 minute video of a person walking down an empty street doesn't count. No bounds on the complexity of the prompt: an AI that takes an entire script as input is perfectly acceptable.
If I have access to the tool for <= $20 I will test it myself, if not then I will look at public samples.
Get Ṁ200 play money
Related questions
Will you be able to use AI tools to create believable adult movies by the end of 2026?
70% chance
In 2032, will an AI be able to generate a full high-quality movie to a prompt?
75% chance
Will we have end to end AI generated anime series by the end of 2024?
22% chance
Will there be realistic AI generated video from natural language descriptions by the start of 2025?
81% chance
By 2028, will AI be able to make a full animated movie with consistent plot, design and characters with no input besides the original prompt?
59% chance
Will most digital entertainment be AI generated by 2032?
38% chance
Movement in "In 2028, will an AI be able to generate a full high-quality movie to a prompt?" by EOY 2024. (500M subsidy)
28% chance
Will we have end to end AI generated anime series by the end of 2025?
57% chance
Will the majority of entertainment in 2030 be AI generated?
28% chance