Will you be able to use AI tools to create believable adult movies by the end of 2026?

1kṀ1558

2026

65%

chance

ALL

By AI generated it will mean something similar to the prompt system used for Stable Diffusion except the output will be a movie of 5 minutes or more in length with multiple scenes or angles with the same characters.

Believable will mean a movie that does not necessarily need to fool the average viewer but will allow the easy suspension of belief while watching it (i.e. an animated Pixar style movie is considered believable but something rapidly morphing between different images would not).

The tools must be available to the average person, either by running them on your own local machine or using a startup or similar hosted service (which can be a paid service but must be priced at a level that makes it available without too much difficulty)

Get

1,000

to start trading!

People are also trading

Will AI-generated pornographic video become mainstream by 2026?

65% chance

Will AI generates film (not video) by using a person's script before 2026

50% chance

Will we have end to end AI generated anime series by the end of 2025?

33% chance

Will Pornhub offer an option to generate AI porn videos on demand before 2027?

17% chance

Who will create the first AI model to generate a high quality movie before 2028?

Will most digital entertainment be AI generated by 2028?

23% chance

Will AI be able to create a video with this much detail by 2030?

92% chance

Will a generative AI model be able to make a movie from a novel before the end of 2027?

66% chance

Will an AI-created movie have 100mm views by 2028?

94% chance

Will video-creating AIs make Hollywood movies significantly cheaper to make by 2033?

Sort by:

On one hand, it's technologically possible. On the other hand, video models are more demanding than image so a large open source scene like with Stable Diffusion seems less likely and large companies seem to dislike smut.

Definite maybe. AI porn is already pretty advanced

Obviously, the probability of this should be 69%.

oh i didnt read the title

predictedNO

I think biggest issue is syncing plausible, consistent audio (Is that necessary?)

predictedYES

@Isaac228c Good question. AI generated audio is pretty far along already but I haven't seen any combination of both of them.

I think what I'm looking for here for a YES would be a tool which you can input a single prompt into it and get back audio and video, even if behind the scenes it has two pipelines to generate them then simply combines them. It would have to be synced (even if it has no dialogue)

predictedYES

Stumbled across a bunch of links to NSFW stable diffusion sub-reddits from a Hacker News. Here's an example of where the technology is at right now (and this is just the resources of a bunch of home users hacking around on this).

WARNING: THIS IS NSFW

https://i.imgur.com/wMtmB8v.gifv

I think there's a good chance this will be theoretically possible, but that there won't be any trained models because only the big AI companies will be able to afford it, and they don't want to train a model to make porn.