Will at least 3 of the Gary Marcus benchmark questions resolve YES? | Manifold

Will at least 3 of the Gary Marcus benchmark questions resolve YES?

41

1kṀ3065

2030

89%

chance

1H

6H

1D

1W

1M

ALL

In the [original post](https://garymarcus.substack.com/p/dear-elon-musk-here-are-five-things) Gary Marcus bets that <3 will resolve to YES. Will he lose his bet?

This market resolves YES if I believe he lost, i.e. I resolve at least three of the other markets to YES, not if Gary Marcus admits he lost.

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