
Hyper Tree Proof Search (Meta's math model from May 2022 (which they released some press about in November)) solved 10 IMO problems. Will we see a 5x improvement within one year?
Obviously the IMO problems must not be part of the training dataset.
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Very unlucky. https://deepmind.google/discover/blog/alphageometry-an-olympiad-level-ai-system-for-geometry/ tests on post-2000 problems and solved 24 out of 30.
Given that a) 1959-1999 IMOs are generally easier than the newer ones; b) they do not train on any existing data at all; there is very little doubt this would have solved 50+ if they had just bothered to formalize the 40+ eligible problems from earlier IMOs.
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@vluzko will the AI be required to examine the natural language statement of the problems, or does an AI that works on pre-formalized problems count?
@vluzko Wait, no, sorry, confused this question with a different one. For this one I'm using the same criteria as for HTPS, so pre-formalized problems are fine.