When will any model achieve >=human performance on QuALITY?
6
14
Ṁ460Ṁ680
2032
1D
1W
1M
ALL
2%
0.9%
Before 2023
0.4%
2023-2024
50%
2024-2025
34%
2025-2026
4%
2026-2027
0.7%
2027-2032
8%
2032-never
QuALITY: https://arxiv.org/pdf/2112.08608.pdf. At time of writing, human performance is 93.5% and this will be used to resolve the question.
Apr 8, 4:25pm: I've written my own answers and will pick whichever one applies. x-y means after x and before y.
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