Short Term AI 2.3: By January 2024, will SOTA on MATH minival be >= 85%?
7
170Ṁ320resolved Jan 3
Resolved
NO1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
[Benchmark](https://paperswithcode.com/sota/math-word-problem-solving-on-math-minival)
At time of writing SOTA is 78% by Let's Verify Step By Step. Note that this is part of the MATH dataset, so if SOTA for MATH overall is >=85% that will resolve this market YES.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
🏅 Top traders
# | Name | Total profit |
---|---|---|
1 | Ṁ154 | |
2 | Ṁ12 | |
3 | Ṁ8 |
Sort by:
People are also trading
Related questions
What will be true of the SOTA AI on the FrontierMath benchmark, before 2026?
What will be true of the SOTA AI on the FrontierMath benchmark, before 2028?
What will be true of the SOTA AI on the FrontierMath benchmark, before 2027?
MMLU 99% #3: Will SOTA for MMLU (average) pass 99% by the start of 2026?
6% chance
BIG-bench accuracy 75% #3: Will SOTA for a single model on BIG-bench pass 75% by the start of 2026?
86% chance
MMLU 99% #5: Will SOTA for MMLU (average) pass 99% by the start of 2028?
44% chance
MMLU 99% #4: Will SOTA for MMLU (average) pass 99% by the start of 2027?
8% chance
BIG-bench accuracy 75% #4: Will SOTA for a single model on BIG-bench pass 75% by the start of 2027?
86% chance
BIG-bench accuracy 75% #5: Will SOTA for a single model on BIG-bench pass 75% by the start of 2028?
87% chance
[Carlini questions] SOTA AI scores better than X% of other participants in competitive programming contest by 2027
91.5