By 2030 will there be a well accepted theory of the causes of Alzheimer's?
17
63
350
2030
24%
chance

Meaning a mechanistic explanation at the cellular + molecular levels of how Alzheimer's first occurs and progresses, with a level of detail comparable to the current understanding of the causes and progression of cancers.

I will attempt to resolve by polling a panel of scientists working on Alzheimer's, but if for some reason that isn't achievable I will resolve based on my own judgment.

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