By 2026, will it be standard practice to sandbox SOTA LLMs?
16
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2026
28%
chance

Resolves YES if most SOTA models are released within some kind of not-completely-trivial sandbox

Example scenarios:

  • If most models have direct read/write access to the internet, resolves NO

  • If DeepMind sandboxes all of their models but Brain and OpenAI don't (assuming those are the three groups releasing SOTA LLMs), resolves NO

  • Resolves NO if there's general agreement that it should be standard practice but isn't

  • Resolves YES if companies are sandboxing but the sandboxes have notable security flaws.

  • Resolves YES if models have some kind of restricted read access to the internet

    Oct 4, 12:26pm: Clarification: Resolves YES if models are deployed in sandboxes with some intentional gaps, e.g. a chatbot that has read/write access to some specific communication channel but is otherwise treated as untrusted code.

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