
This question resolves "Yes" if there is a scientific paper, video demonstration, or product release by January 1, 2034 that demonstrates a robot's ability to reliably tie men's neckties (on previously unseen subjects, with previously unseen ties of reasonably varying lengths, colors, etc).
People are also trading
https://arxiv.org/pdf/2304.13705
"[w]e develop a simple yet novel algorithm, Action
Chunking with Transformers (ACT), which learns a generative
model over action sequences. ACT allows the robot to learn 6
difficult tasks in the real world, such as opening a translucent
condiment cup and slotting a battery with 80-90% success,
with only 10 minutes worth of demonstrations. Project website:
I would have thought there were already robots machines that could do this, and have been for a long time?
That's quite different from the resolution criteria (ie prev. unseen subjects and ties). Closest I have seen is here https://tiebots.github.io/