Zohran Mamdani Margin of Victory [polymarket]
156
1kṀ21kNov 5
5%
<0
33%
0-10%
48%
10-20%
13%
20-30%
1%
30%+
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Will Zohran Mamdani turn centrist? Would it help/hurt his chances? [resolved by poll post-election]
What % of the vote will Zohran Mamdani get in the 2025 NYC mayoral general election?
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Zohran Mamdani Total Vote Count in 2025 NYC Mayoral Election
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High quality polling Institutes (Atlas Intel) released polls from Oct30 and November 3. The race is much more tight than one might imagine (6pp gap and now 4.5 pp gap).
I am responsible for most of the correction. Either I will make a SHITTON of mana, or I'll lose quite a bit.
@FecalAbhuman "If Zohran Mamdani does not receive the most votes in the certified results, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket." As far as I understood, it resovles to "<0" in this case.
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Will Zohran Mamdani turn centrist? Would it help/hurt his chances? [resolved by poll post-election]
What % of the vote will Zohran Mamdani get in the 2025 NYC mayoral general election?
What boroughs will Zohran Mamdani win in the NYC mayoral election?
Zohran Mamdani Total Vote Count in 2025 NYC Mayoral Election