Will Poland get nuclear weapons by the end of 2027? | Manifold

Will Poland get nuclear weapons by the end of 2027?

47

Ṁ1kṀ9.3k

2027

16%

chance

1H

6H

1D

1W

1M

ALL

Both nuclear sharing and own developement count as YES.

Market context

Ukraine-Russia war

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bought Ṁ300 YES

"French President Emmanuel Macron has said he will open talks with European allies over how France’s nuclear weapons could protect Europe"

https://www.ft.com/content/a6e951ba-271e-4e1d-acba-6dbb328bbe40

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