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MANIFOLD
Will warfare robots kill multitudes in a city?
2
Ṁ100Ṁ101
2030
20%
chance

Inspired by this tweet response:

Mikle Lalak @miklelalak 15 u

There will be a moment in the next 10 years where equivalent loss of life to a nuclear weapon will be inflicted on a city entirely through automated drones, each no larger than a rat, delivered through international shipping via about 4-6 shipping containers. Bookmark this.

As a response to these tweets:

WarRoom Archives @WarRoomArchives 21 apr.

Drone warfare has reached such a level that many fighters have lost hope of escaping or resisting. For example, the final strike on the barracks is terrifying.

https://x.com/WarRoomArchives/status/2046638924060315766?s=20

David Adler @davidrkadler

Does no one else see in these videos the most terrifying premonition for all of human civilization?

This will be resolved from facts that I find sufficiently convincing when something like this happens. This is speculative futurology, so there are no clear resolution criteria yet.

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