
Will Nassim Taleb publish a new book in 2024?
26
193Ṁ1499resolved Jan 1
Resolved
NO1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Nassim Taleb has Tweeted that he's working on a new book. When will it be published?
Reissues of existing works don't count.
https://twitter.com/nntaleb/status/1595762847748857857?t=UMalxPUJ7aEQBTjNIoBEAQ&s=19
Note: it is possible that NNT will first publish a draft online. My proposal is to count this as YES. Open for discussion...
Update 2024-31-12 (PST): - The market will be closed as NO on tomorrow. (AI summary of creator comment)
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
🏅 Top traders
# | Name | Total profit |
---|---|---|
1 | Ṁ76 | |
2 | Ṁ21 | |
3 | Ṁ21 | |
4 | Ṁ8 | |
5 | Ṁ7 |
People are also trading
Related questions
Will Nassim Taleb publish a new book in 2025?
45% chance
Will Yudkowsky and Soares' book get on the NYT bestseller list in 2025?
67% chance
In which year will Nassim Nicholas Taleb publish his next book
Will Sam Bankman-Fried author a book that will be an New York Times bestseller before 2075?
35% chance
Will Chris Olah publish a textbook before 2027?
24% chance
Sam Altman publishes a book by mid 2028
48% chance
Will Scott Aaronson write about Quantum Economics before 2026?
10% chance
Will there be another Charlie Kaufman novel before 2028?
64% chance
Will the New York Times positively cover Allan Lichtman’s 13 Keys prediction in 2028?
23% chance
Ramez Naam publishes a novel before 2031
47% chance