Will Trump institute a transgender military ban within 24 hours of taking office?
➕
Plus
87
Ṁ17k
Jan 21
19%
chance

This market resolves YES if Donald Trump, upon taking office as President in 2025, issues an executive order or similar directive banning transgender individuals from serving in the US military within his first 24 hours as president. Market resolves NO if no such ban is instituted within the first 24 hours.

Resolution criteria: Official White House announcements, executive orders, or Department of Defense directives issued within the first 24 hours of Trump taking office.

Sources: https://www.thepinknews.com/2024/11/25/donald-trump-transgender-military/ https://economictimes.com/news/international/global-trends/trump-plans-deadly-move-against-transgenders-serving-in-the-us-military-on-first-day-of-his-office-check-details/articleshow/115656318.cms

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How would you resolve if he prevents people from enlisting but not from continuing existing service

@JoeBoyle I still think that is a no

bought Ṁ50 YES

@CraigDemel feeling some strong indications that the leak was a trial balloon from this article ngl

@RichardHanania do you think he will do it?

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