I will exclude purely cosmetic instances such as costume ball, re-enactment, or some benign single-event like this

This market is part of a series of markets inspired by a scroll through BlueSky. They will be resolved to PROB based on the spirit of the hypothesis (somewhat vibes-based), using evidence posted in comments and own research if necessary.

I will not be trading in those markets (except buying & selling at market creation to increase trader count).

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Inspired by the Rumble market series by CodeandSolder.