Reported damage in San Francisco due to earthquake or tsunami by December 6, 2024

100Ṁ2547

resolved Dec 6

Resolved

ALL

This market predicts whether there will be reported damage in San Francisco resulting from the magnitude 7.0 earthquake or any subsequent tsunami.

Resolution will be based on reports from local authorities or major news outlets confirming damage in San Francisco.

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Should I resolve this market?

bought Ṁ20 NO

@typeofemale Would you expect, if there was damage, for it to have been reported in the news already?
They had a whole day, and I couldn't find anything at this moment.

@Fedor idk

@Sinclair should I resolve this market to no?

bought Ṁ25 YES

local news would report damage even if the only thing that got damaged was a kid's sand-castle.

Physical? Yes. = Stuff Fell. Pools Cracked.

Emotional? Yes. = People got anxious

Economic? Yes = Stuff shutdown to evacuate, Berkely issued evac, business/school/transit interrupted.

source = live SF newscast

sold Ṁ20 NO

@DistinctlySkeptical I can only find that the zoo was evacuated and the bart line shut down a tunnel for a bit, both as precautions.
But I can't find on news sources any physical damage happening in san francisco.