Will 5%+ of writers and designers lose their jobs by 2025?
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Plus
36
Ṁ1567
2025
34%
chance

Resolves to YES if the May 2025 edition of the US BLS statistics indicates the sum of employement in the following categories has declined by at least 5% from the May 2023 numbers:

May 2023 numbers are forthcoming.

Background: there's a perception that generative AI will replace creative workers, and therefore demand for workers like graphic designers and writers will fall dramatically. There's also a 5 year version of this market.

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Based on published schedule and edit dates, there's typically an 11 month lag on OEWS data.
https://www.bls.gov/schedule/2024/home.htm

"Wednesday, April 3, 2024

10:00 AM

Occupational Employment and Wages for Annual 2023"

May 2021 levels of employment for these jobs in 2025 would resolve YES. (Hypothetical uniform 5% drop included for reference)

reposted

Resolving soon!

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