Will 5%+ of writers and designers lose their jobs in the next 5 years?
7
44
Ṁ118Ṁ199
2028
63%
chance
1D
1W
1M
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Resolves to YES if the May 2028 edition of the US BLS statistics indicates the sum of employement in the following categories has declined by at least 5% from the May 2023 numbers:
Writers and Authors (includes copywriters for advertising etc, as well as authors and screenwriters)
May 2023 numbers are forthcoming.
Background: there's a perception that generative AI will replace creative workers, and therefore demand for workers like graphic designers and writers will fall dramatically. There's also a 2 year version of this market.
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