Y'all are seriously undercounting Dem chances... still.
It looks like Dems are slightly favored in CO-03, and likely to win CO-08.
It seems as though the Arizona seats (O'Halleran's AZ-02 and the open AZ-06) are favored to go to the Republicans, as there are still lots of E-Day votes to be counted. However, those races haven't been called.
In Nevada, all three Dem seats are favored to stay Dem, and there are a lot of mail-ins left to be counted.
In California, there are promising signs for Democrats. Over a million mail-in ballots have yet to be counted in just LA County, in addition to the heavily D-leaning mail-ins and drop box ballots. As such, it appears that CA-03 might be in play, thought it is likely R.
In Oregon, every Dem will keep their seat except for OR-05, where it's still a tossup and could go either way.
In Washington, Schier is favored and surprisingly, the Theil candidate in WA-03 seems to have put the district in play.
Overall, this market has adequately priced the chances of Democrats, but still, depending on how CA is looking, it should re-orient itself.
@thadthechad How can the market be undercounting while correctly pricing? What should the odds be?
@NathanpmYoung I don't know. I think it's a matter of predicting based on ALL the seats, even ones projected, or the ones currently not projected. If it's the latter, Dems are underpriced.