[New Brackets] What will the turnout be in the 2024 Iowa Republican Caucus?
Basic
10
Ṁ312resolved Jan 16
100%49%
90,000–129,999
1.6%
[Fully postponed to after Jan. 15, no vote, etc.]
4%
1–49,999
5%
50,000–89,999
36%
130,000–179,999
5%
180,000 or more
Parent market:
This is a spin-off of the market above, in light of recent events forecasting more lethargic turnout.
Resolves to the number of the popular vote total in the 2024 Iowa Republican presidential caucus according to certified results. Source of results will be Iowa Secretary of State or other authority.
As with the parent market, trading closes at midnight local time before the caucus, so take your position by then.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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1,000and
3.00
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