[Subsidized] What will the turnout be in the 2024 Iowa Republican Caucus?

Basic

Ṁ1826

resolved Jan 16

100%83%

149,000 or less

16%

150,000 to 189,999

0.8%

190,000-209,999

0.2%

210,000-249,999

0.1%

250,000 or more

Resolves to the number of the popular vote total in the 2024 Iowa Republican presidential caucus according to certified results. Source of results will be Iowa Secretary of State or other authority.

This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.

#Republican Party

#2024 Republican Primaries

#2024 Primaries

Get

1,000

and

3.00

6 Comments

21 Holders

44 Trades

Sort by:

Thanks everyone! AP and DDHQ currently show 110,217 votes with >99% reporting so I’m resolving to <150k.

https://manifold.markets/Quin/will-the-turnout-in-the-2024-iowa-r?r=UXVpbg

reposted

Trading closes in a few hours

Turnout is expected to be lower due to weather:

https://apnews.com/article/iowa-republican-caucuses-democracy-winter-weather-turnout-1e6505fc57c2f4e6c1ebf1c1746171ca

reposted

See the new spin-off market:

Update: Auction will close at midnight local time before the caucus, for fairness. It may take up to a few days thereafter to resolve.

Related questions

Related questions