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Will there be at least 10 earthquakes of 7.0+ magnitude in 2022?
14
Ṁ462Ṁ1.2k
resolved Nov 16
Resolved
YES
This market resolves to "YES" if by the end of 2022 there have been 10 or more earthquakes of at least 7.0 magnitude (according to the Moment Magnitude Scale https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Moment_magnitude_scale). Resolves to "NO" otherwise.
Market context
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On Nov 12, the tenth 7.0+ magnitude earthquake occurred. It was off the coast of Fiji, a recent hotspot. Resolving as YES.

In the last two days there have been two more 7.0+ earthquakes, brining the total to 9

As of 10/1 there have been 7 such earthquakes.

This week there were two 7.0+ earthquakes (Papua New Guinea and Vanuatu). We're up to 6 on the year.

With today's 7.0 earthquake in the Philippines, we're up to 4 on the year.
Most years have 10+ & there are often several very close in time
42% of the way through the year and still only at 3 large quakes
Year to date there have been two 7.0+ magnitude earthquakes: 1. 16 March 2022, Fukushima, Japan, 7.3 2. 31 March 2022, Loyalty Islands, New Caledonia, 7.0

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